{"id":10507,"date":"2021-07-31T22:20:49","date_gmt":"2021-07-31T20:20:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/storycoffee.pl\/?p=10507"},"modified":"2026-03-11T10:38:19","modified_gmt":"2026-03-11T09:38:19","slug":"low-temperatures-in-brazil-and-the-price-of-coffee","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/storycoffee.pl\/en\/niskie-temperatury-w-brazylii-i-cena-kawy\/","title":{"rendered":"Low temperatures in Brazil and the price of coffee."},"content":{"rendered":"<h3>I have heard for several months in conversations with farmers or importers that the Brazilian harvest will be smaller this season.<\/h3>\n<p>This was due to less rainfall on\u00a0<span class=\"hiddenSpellError\">m2<\/span>. Wi\u0119c by\u0142o wiadomo ju\u017c od jakiego\u015b czasu, \u017ce <strong>ceny kawy z kolejnego zbioru<\/strong> b\u0119d\u0105 wy\u017csze. Od kilku dni jak zauwa\u017cyli\u015bcie, social media zalewaj\u0105 informacje o przymrozkach w Brazylii! ?<\/p>\n<p>Yes, yes, in this sunny Brazil where you can fry on the Copacabana come temperatures that drop below zero at night, already many coffee-growing regions have been affected by low temperatures, and this weekend frosts are expected to affect the largest coffee belt in the world! Farmers have protected the smaller trees and seedlings with film something along the lines of our greenhouses. They protected the regular coffee trees with potassium sulphate by spraying.<br \/>Will this help? Let's hope so!<\/p>\n<h3>In that case, what about such a tree when it encounters such low temperatures? It depends...<\/h3>\n<p>Zale\u017cy od tego, jak nisko spad\u0142a temperatura i na jak d\u0142ugo. W najgorszym wypadku drzewko b\u0119dzie musia\u0142o zosta\u0107 wyci\u0119te, ? w troch\u0119 lepszej sytuacji nie b\u0119dzie musia\u0142o by\u0107 wyci\u0119te, ale te\u017c b\u0119dzie ono mocno uzale\u017cnione od ilo\u015bci opad\u00f3w i temperatury w drugiej po\u0142owie sierpnia. Wszystko to <strong>wi\u0105\u017ce si\u0119 z najwy\u017csz\u0105 cen\u0105 kawy<\/strong> od oko\u0142o 10-15 lat!<\/p>\n<p>And this price will continue to rise until at least the end of August, maybe even mid-September. Farmers will then, be able to estimate the losses from the current harvest, and estimate the losses for the next harvest, or in the case of a worse situation for the next 2-3 harvests.<\/p>\n<p>At the moment, the loss is estimated at 5-8 million bags of coffee! That is about 8-13% of how much was produced in Brazil last year.<\/p>\n<p>Will this affect the price?\u00a0<span class=\"hiddenSpellError\">Ofkors<\/span>! Is it already here and now! Oh yes already here and now?! A little bit yes, a little bit no... Yes, the people who work on the stock exchange (who are also able to turn up the speculation on such occasions?) exporters, importers and roasters feel it all the time. It is worth pointing out here that when the market changes, coffee that is on the slope in the warehouse also gets more expensive or cheaper.<\/p>\n<p>Nie dla przeci\u0119tnego konsumenta, poniewa\u017c wielkie palarnie kontraktuj\u0105 kaw\u0119 cz\u0119sto na rok do przodu, wiec cen\u0119 maj\u0105 zapewnion\u0105, ewentualnie dop\u0142ac\u0105 r\u00f3\u017cnice do kontrakt\u00f3w terminowych, ale to i tak w mniejszym stopniu ich dotknie. Przynajmniej teraz w tym momencie, bo je\u015bli scenariusz b\u0119dzie si\u0119 pogarsza\u0142 to i tak w pewnym momencie b\u0119d\u0105 musieli zap\u0142aci\u0107 du\u017co wi\u0119cej za kaw\u0119, proste prawo popytu i poda\u017cy. Wszystko zale\u017cne b\u0119dzie od finalnych zbior\u00f3w i estymacji przysz\u0142ych zbior\u00f3w na podstawie wyci\u0119tych drzewek.<\/p>\n<h3>Well ok, but how does this relate to coffee\u00a0<span class=\"hiddenSpellError\">Specialty<\/span>? Will the price increase?<\/h3>\n<p>Tak wzro\u015bnie, je\u015bli <strong>kawa komercyjna niskiej jako\u015bci<\/strong> wzrasta to naturalne, \u017ce cena kawy wysokiej jako\u015bci te\u017c wzro\u015bnie, ale nie proporcjonalnie do cen kaw komercyjnych. Kawy 88+ to nie b\u0119dzie dotyczy\u0107, bo tam cena g\u0142\u00f3wnie zale\u017cna jest od jako\u015bci profilu fili\u017canki oraz <strong>ilo\u015bci danej kawy<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Cena kawy<\/strong> od pocz\u0105tku 2021 wzrasta\u0142a, poniewa\u017c przez\u00a0<span class=\"hiddenSpellError\">COVID<\/span>-19 cz\u0119\u015b\u0107 kontener\u00f3w podr\u00f3\u017cowa\u0142a na pusto, co zwi\u0119ksza\u0142o koszt transportu z kraju pochodzenia do np. najwi\u0119kszego portu kawowego na \u015bwiecie mieszcz\u0105cego si\u0119 w Hamburgu. Wzrosty te nie by\u0142y tak odczuwalne, poniewa\u017c rynek kawy i tak mia\u0142 si\u0119 dobrze. Teraz, co prawda jeszcze daleka droga do rekordu z 1977 roku gdzie cena wynosi\u0142a 332 centy za funt kawy, bo w ostatnim tygodniu najwy\u017csza cena wynosi\u0142a 201 cent\u00f3w za funt kawy (Wzrost ceny wzgl\u0119dem maja ok 45%).<\/p>\n<p>Miejmy nadziej\u0119, \u017ce do rekordu si\u0119 nie zbli\u017cymy, ani tym bardziej go nie przebijemy. Zbyt niska cena nie jest op\u0142acalna, poniewa\u017c niekt\u00f3rzy farmerzy mog\u0105 si\u0119 zaj\u0105\u0107 bardziej op\u0142acaln\u0105 produkcj\u0105 np. trzciny cukrowej, co mia\u0142o miejsce jaki\u015b czas temu w niekt\u00f3rych krajach afryka\u0144skich.<\/p>\n<p>Wy\u017csza cena mo\u017ce da\u0107 <strong>szanse na rozw\u00f3j <span class=\"hiddenSpellError\">Specialty<\/span>\u00a0<span class=\"hiddenSpellError\">Coffee<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0where the difference between commercial coffee and high-quality coffee will be smaller. Conversely, too high a price could lead to a stagnant market as coffee becomes too luxurious again for certain sections of society.<\/p>\n<p>Klimat to jeden z czynnik\u00f3w, ale nie jedyny. O pe\u0142nym obrazie tego, co wp\u0142ywa na koszt Twojej fili\u017canki, piszemy w artykule <a href=\"https:\/\/storycoffee.pl\/en\/the-price-of-specialty-coffees-where-it-comes-from\/\">o cenie kaw specialty<\/a>. Warto te\u017c pozna\u0107 mechanizmy gie\u0142dowe \u2013 sprawd\u017a, <a href=\"https:\/\/storycoffee.pl\/en\/why-are-coffee-prices-going-up-whats-with-the-c-price-and-will-it-get-any-more-expensive\/\">o co chodzi z C-price i dlaczego ceny kawy id\u0105 w g\u00f3r\u0119<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-1098 alignnone\" src=\"https:\/\/storycoffee.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/Story_Fot_The_Snap_Shots_032-300x200.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"200\" srcset=\"https:\/\/storycoffee.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/Story_Fot_The_Snap_Shots_032-300x200.jpg 300w, https:\/\/storycoffee.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/Story_Fot_The_Snap_Shots_032-1024x683.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/storycoffee.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/Story_Fot_The_Snap_Shots_032-768x512.jpg 768w, https:\/\/storycoffee.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/Story_Fot_The_Snap_Shots_032-1536x1025.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/storycoffee.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/Story_Fot_The_Snap_Shots_032-2048x1366.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/storycoffee.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/06\/Story_Fot_The_Snap_Shots_032-600x400.jpg 600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/p>\n<h3>Robert Rybczynski<\/h3>\n<h5>Co-founder Story Coffee Roasters, Co-owner Story Coffee Roasters.<br \/>Vice Polish Coffee Roasting Champion 2018.<\/h5>\n<h5>A daily drinker and roaster, he has been involved with coffee since 2008.<br \/>I was drawn in for good in 2014 when I had my first espresso from Ethiopia Amaro Gayo.<\/h5>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Od kilku miesi\u0119cy w rozmowach z farmerami czy importerami s\u0142ysza\u0142em, \u017ce zbiory w Brazylii w tym sezonie b\u0119d\u0105 mniejsze. By\u0142o to spowodowane mniejsz\u0105 ilo\u015bci\u0105 opad\u00f3w na\u00a0m2. Wi\u0119c by\u0142o wiadomo ju\u017c od jakiego\u015b czasu, \u017ce ceny kawy z kolejnego zbioru b\u0119d\u0105 wy\u017csze. Od kilku dni jak zauwa\u017cyli\u015bcie, social media zalewaj\u0105 informacje o przymrozkach w Brazylii! ? [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":10509,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[228,482],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-10507","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-blog","category-kawa"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Niskie temperatury w Brazylii i cena kawy. | Story Coffee Roasters<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Niskie temperatury w Brazylii uderzaj\u0105 w \u015bwiatowy rynek kawy. Dowiedz si\u0119, jak mrozy wp\u0142ywaj\u0105 na zbiory i co to oznacza dla cen Twoich ulubionych ziaren. 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